Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Cimenti K.
66'
66'
De Robillard S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sydney Utd have won more games recently than Manly Utd.
- Sydney Utd are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 21%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manly Utd | Sydney Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 13 | 23 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Manly Utd
3:1
Jun 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney Utd
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Manly Utd
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Manly Utd
1:0
Feb 21, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney Utd
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manly Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer De Robillard S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sydney Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Cimenti K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manly Utd 20 / 100
Sydney Utd 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manly Utd Sydney Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manly Utd's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Manly Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Sydney Utd has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.
Scoring Trends
Manly Utd VS Sydney Utd
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Manly Utd
(Home) 06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1 Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2 Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1 Marconi Stallions
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0 Sydney Olympic
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0 SD Raiders
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Sydney Utd
(Away) 13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0 St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
12 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
