Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mannheim vs RW Essen

Germany Germany

3. Liga Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sietan J.
58'
Thill V.
59'
Kammerknecht C.

AI Match Summary

RW Essen in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mannheim
15%
Draws
69%
RW Essen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Mannheim haven't matched RW Essen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives RW Essen a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mannheim Clean Sheet 15%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mannheim RW Essen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.93 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 3. Liga
Mannheim vs RW Essen
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Mannheim
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 3. Liga
Mannheim vs RW Essen
6:1
Mar 9, 2025 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Mannheim
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 3. Liga
Mannheim vs RW Essen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mannheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Keumo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Sietan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Telalovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mannheim 10 / 100
RW Essen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mannheim RW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mannheim found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

RW Essen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Mannheim went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mannheim VS RW Essen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mannheim

(Home)
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
13 Sept
Wehen
0 : 1
Mannheim
05 Sept
Mannheim
0 : 1
Verl
30 Aug
TSV Havelse
3 : 2
Mannheim
21 Aug
Mannheim
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern
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RW Essen

(Away)
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
29 Aug
Wehen
0 : 0
RW Essen
23 Aug
RW Essen
2 : 0
St. Pauli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)