Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mannheim vs Verl

Germany Germany

3. Liga Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mannheim host Verl in the 3. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Verl have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Mannheim have conceded 1.87 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Verl slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (2.75 - 1.94) back Verl to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Mannheim
15%
Draws
20%
Verl
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Verl carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mannheim's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mannheim Clean Sheet 10%
Verl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mannheim Verl
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.07 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs Mannheim
5:2
Aug 2, 2025 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Verl
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Verl
2:2
Aug 25, 2024 3. Liga
Verl vs Mannheim
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 3. Liga
Verl vs Mannheim
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mannheim 83 / 100
Verl 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mannheim Verl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mannheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mannheim scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Verl let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Mannheim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mannheim VS Verl
3.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mannheim

(Home)
16 Aug
Hansa Rostock
3 : 3
Mannheim
07 Aug
Mannheim
2 : 1
Dusseldorf
01 Aug
Mannheim
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
25 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
Triglav
23 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
FC Liefering
Page 1 of 6

Verl

(Away)
15 Aug
Verl
2 : 4
Duisburg
09 Aug
Alemannia Aachen
4 : 1
Verl
01 Aug
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Verl
26 Jul
Verl
6 : 1
Bremer
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Saarbrucken 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Wurzburger Kickers 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Alemannia Aachen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
5 Preussen Munster 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Hansa Rostock 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
7 Mannheim 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
8 Regensburg 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
9 Hoffenheim II 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
10 FC Viktoria Koln 2 1 0 1 5:6 3
11 VfB Stuttgart II 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
12 Meppen 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
14 RW Essen 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
15 Ingolstadt 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
16 Fortuna Koln 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 TSV Havelse 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
18 Dusseldorf 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Verl 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
20 Wehen 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)