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Manningham United Blues vs North Geelong Warriors

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Anghel I.
42' Event
Wall P.
60' Event
Chapman A.

AI Match Summary

North Geelong Warriors in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Geelong Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Manningham United Blues
28%
Draws
50%
North Geelong Warriors
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: North Geelong Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Geelong Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Manningham United Blues.
  • Win probability leans North Geelong Warriors's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Manningham United Blues Clean Sheet 10%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manningham United Blues North Geelong Warriors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs North Geelong Warriors
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Manningham United Blues
1:3
Jul 9, 2022 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs North Geelong Warriors
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Manningham United Blues
2:0
May 11, 2019 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Manningham United Blues
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manningham United Blues Compare

Top Goalscorer Harding R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stokes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

North Geelong Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Anghel I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wall P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manningham United Blues 22 / 100
North Geelong Warriors 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manningham United Blues North Geelong Warriors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manningham United Blues scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: North Geelong Warriors conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Manningham United Blues has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manningham United Blues VS North Geelong Warriors
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northcote City19123434:1939
2Melbourne Knights19122534:1638
3Brunswick Juventus19120735:2636
4Melbourne Victory U211993745:3230
5Bulleen1985632:2629
6Melbourne Srbija1892724:2129
7Eltham Redbacks1984745:3428
8North Geelong Warriors1891832:3428
9Manningham United Blues1982933:3826
10Western United U2119811038:4525
11Brunswick City19721035:4123
12Langwarrin1964933:4222
13North Sunshine Eagles19431223:3615
14Port Melbourne Sharks19241310:4310