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Manta vs Fuerza Amarilla

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Aug 23, 2020
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manta host Fuerza Amarilla in the Serie B 2020. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Manta at 0.25 goals for, 1.13 against; Fuerza Amarilla at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Manta slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.72 vs 1.06, favoring Manta. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manta
39%
Draws
30%
Fuerza Amarilla
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Fuerza Amarilla haven't matched Manta's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Manta Clean Sheet 20%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Fuerza Amarilla
Matches Played 37 16
Wins 11 2
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Manta
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Manta
0:3
Aug 29, 2020 Serie B
Manta vs Fuerza Amarilla
3:2
Aug 23, 2020 Serie B
Manta vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Oct 6, 2018 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Manta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 32 / 100
Fuerza Amarilla 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Fuerza Amarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuerza Amarilla let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Manta scored in 54% of their last 37 outings.

Manta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
15 Jul
Manta
0 : 1
Delfin
11 Jul
Manta
0 : 0
Orense
04 Jul
Independiente del Valle
4 : 0
Manta
30 May
Manta
2 : 1
Libertad
26 May
Aucas
3 : 1
Manta
Page 1 of 8

Fuerza Amarilla

(Away)
14 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
America de Quito
08 Nov
Atletico Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
04 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
31 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
25 Oct
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416
Promotion - Liga Pro 2021 (First stage)