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Manta vs U. Catolica

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Manta Logo

Manta

1 - 0
FT
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Moscarelli O.
45'
Ramirez B.
45'
Canga L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Manta and U. Catolica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Manta
20%
Draws
47%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Manta haven't matched U. Catolica's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on U. Catolica taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta U. Catolica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Manta
5:1
Apr 27, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs U. Catolica
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs U. Catolica
4:2
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Manta
3:0
Jul 31, 2021 Liga Pro
Manta vs U. Catolica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manta Compare

Top Goalscorer Moscarelli O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

U. Catolica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 26 / 100
U. Catolica 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: U. Catolica conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Manta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Manta's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS U. Catolica
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)