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Mantes vs Roye

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CFA - Group A 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group A 2015/2016 game between Mantes and Roye finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mantes
30%
Draws
29%
Roye
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roye come out ahead of Mantes on wins alone.
  • Mantes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mantes Clean Sheet 19%
Roye Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantes Roye
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.73 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2016 National 1 - Group A
Mantes vs Roye
1:1
Nov 7, 2015 National 1 - Group A
Roye vs Mantes
0:1
Feb 25, 2015 National 1 - Group A
Roye vs Mantes
4:0
Aug 30, 2014 National 1 - Group A
Mantes vs Roye
0:2
May 3, 2014 National 1 - Group A
Mantes vs Roye
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantes 58 / 100
Roye 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantes Roye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roye has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Mantes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mantes found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Mantes VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantes

(Home)
14 Aug
Mantes
4 : 2
Chatou
07 Mar
Chartres
3 : 0
Mantes
22 Feb
Mantes
2 : 1
Guingamp II
15 Feb
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 0
Mantes
08 Feb
Mantes
0 : 0
Rouen
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Roye

(Away)
03 Dec
Sainte-Genevieve
1 : 0
Roye
12 Nov
Roye
2 : 1
APM Metz
04 Jun
Aubervilliers
2 : 2
Roye
28 May
Roye
1 : 1
Arras
14 May
PSG II
5 : 2
Roye
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quevilly 30 17 11 2 50:22 92
2 IC Croix 30 15 10 5 55:37 85
3 Poissy 30 15 7 8 55:42 82
4 Sannois 30 12 10 8 46:39 76
5 Arras 30 11 8 11 43:43 71
6 Amiens AC 30 12 4 14 35:34 70
7 PSG II 30 11 7 12 35:40 70
8 Mantes 30 11 6 13 31:38 69
9 Calais 30 10 8 12 32:37 68
10 Boulogne Billancourt 30 10 8 12 43:40 68
11 Dieppe 30 9 10 11 31:24 67
12 Wasquehal 30 12 10 8 44:41 66
13 Lens II 30 9 9 12 37:45 66
14 Troyes II 30 9 9 12 41:47 65
15 Aubervilliers 30 4 12 14 27:47 54
16 Roye 30 5 7 18 38:67 51
Promotion - National 2016/2017 (Main)