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Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2020
Manthiqueira Logo

Manthiqueira

5 - 0
FT
Atletico Mogi Logo

Atletico Mogi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2020 game between Manthiqueira and Atletico Mogi finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manthiqueira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Manthiqueira
15%
Draws
28%
Atletico Mogi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Manthiqueira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Manthiqueira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Manthiqueira here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico Mogi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Atletico Mogi
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.6 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Paulista B
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
3:5
May 4, 2024 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi
1:0
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi
2:3
May 6, 2023 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
0:2
Jun 18, 2022 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 85 / 100
Atletico Mogi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Atletico Mogi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manthiqueira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Mogi has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Manthiqueira scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Atletico Mogi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Mogi

(Away)
22 Jun
Atletico Mogi
0 : 1
ECUS SP
15 Jun
Mauaense
4 : 0
Atletico Mogi
08 Jun
Atletico Mogi
3 : 5
Manthiqueira
01 Jun
Atletico Mogi
2 : 1
Uniao Mogi
25 May
Maua FC
1 : 0
Atletico Mogi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bandeirante 8 6 2 0 21:3 20
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
3 America SP 8 3 1 4 8:8 10
4 Tanabi 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
5 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 0 6 3:15 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 5 3 0 18:6 18
2 Osvaldo Cruz 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
3 Vocem 8 3 3 2 12:5 12
4 Tupa 8 3 2 3 8:13 11
5 Assisense 8 0 1 7 4:18 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 XV de Jau 8 3 4 1 11:7 13
3 Sao-Carlense 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
4 Inter de Bebedouro 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
5 Matonense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 8 5 2 1 13:10 17
2 Rio Branco SP 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 AA Itarare 8 4 1 3 15:9 13
4 Uniao Barbarense 8 2 1 5 10:13 7
5 Elosport 8 1 2 5 8:19 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amparo SP 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
2 Itapirense 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
3 Flamengo SP 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
4 Brasilis 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
5 Guarulhos 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 8 7 0 1 26:8 21
2 Manthiqueira 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
3 Uniao Suzano 8 3 2 3 18:11 11
4 Uniao Mogi 8 2 3 3 17:13 9
5 Atletico Mogi 8 0 0 8 2:38 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jabaquara 8 5 1 2 10:3 16
2 Maua FC 8 4 2 2 10:4 14
3 SKA Brasil 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
4 Mauaense 8 2 4 2 10:9 10
5 Barcelona SP 8 0 2 6 4:21 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams