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Manthiqueira vs Barcelona SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Danilo
78' Event
Regio de Oliveira D.
89' Event
Khevin

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Manthiqueira and Barcelona SP finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manthiqueira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Manthiqueira
15%
Draws
0%
Barcelona SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manthiqueira come out ahead of Barcelona SP on wins alone.
  • Manthiqueira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Barcelona SP
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.58 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Manthiqueira
1:5
May 9, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Barcelona SP
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manthiqueira Compare

Top Goalscorer Regio de Oliveira D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khevin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Barcelona SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 85 / 100
Barcelona SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Barcelona SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manthiqueira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Barcelona SP's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Manthiqueira found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS Barcelona SP
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 8

Barcelona SP

(Away)
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0
Barcelona SP
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)