Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manthiqueira vs Itaqua

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Costa D.
83' Event
Martins M.

AI Match Summary

Itaqua in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itaqua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Manthiqueira
15%
Draws
53%
Itaqua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itaqua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itaqua lately — more wins on the board than Manthiqueira.
  • Itaqua are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Itaqua
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.4 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Itaqua
0:2
May 3, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Manthiqueira
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manthiqueira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Itaqua Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 18 / 100
Itaqua 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Itaqua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itaqua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Itaqua let in goals in 56% of their last 16 matches.

Solid form: Manthiqueira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS Itaqua
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

Itaqua

(Away)
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0
Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)