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Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2017 game between Manthiqueira and Jose Bonifacio EC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manthiqueira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Manthiqueira
20%
Draws
46%
Jose Bonifacio EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Manthiqueira haven't matched Jose Bonifacio EC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 16%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Jose Bonifacio EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Paulista B
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
0:2
Aug 20, 2017 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Jose Bonifacio EC
1:0
Jul 15, 2017 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Manthiqueira
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 36 / 100
Jose Bonifacio EC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Jose Bonifacio EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jose Bonifacio EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Jose Bonifacio EC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Manthiqueira stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS Jose Bonifacio EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
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Jose Bonifacio EC

(Away)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Mogi 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
2 Mauaense 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 America SP 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 XV de Jau 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SKA Brasil 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Sao Jose EC 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AA Itarare 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
4 Brasilis 6 0 0 6 5:12 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
2 Osvaldo Cruz 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Vocem 6 2 2 2 3:5 8
4 Francana 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taquaritinga 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
2 Manthiqueira 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
3 Primavera EC 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
4 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Play Offs)