Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Paulista in this Paulista A4 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulista.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paulista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paulista lately — more wins on the board than Manthiqueira.
- Win probability leans Manthiqueira's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Paulista here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 16%
Paulista Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manthiqueira | Paulista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 35 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.49 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2024 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Paulista
0:3
Jul 6, 2024 Paulista B
Paulista vs Manthiqueira
5:0
Jul 30, 2022 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Manthiqueira
0:0
Jul 9, 2022 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Paulista
1:2
May 25, 2019 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Paulista
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manthiqueira 57 / 100
Paulista 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manthiqueira Paulista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manthiqueira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Manthiqueira scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.
Paulista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Manthiqueira stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Manthiqueira VS Paulista
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Manthiqueira
(Home) 05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
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27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
23 May
Manthiqueira
4 : 2 Maua FC
09 May
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Barcelona SP
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Paulista
(Away) 07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3 Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1 Paulista
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1 Paulista
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1 Paulista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Paulista
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao-Carlense | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penapolense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 8 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Maua FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Rio Branco SP | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter de Bebedouro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Jacarei FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Taquaritinga | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itapirense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 2 | AA Itarare | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | SKA Brasil | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)
