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Manthiqueira vs Sao-Carlense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao-Carlense in this Paulista A4 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao-Carlense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Manthiqueira
30%
Draws
35%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Manthiqueira average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Sao-Carlense's 1.13.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 20%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 12
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Sao-Carlense
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Manthiqueira
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 36 / 100
Sao-Carlense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao-Carlense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Manthiqueira's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sao-Carlense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Manthiqueira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS Sao-Carlense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
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Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao-Carlense 6 5 1 0 12:4 16
2 Penapolense 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
3 Paulista 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Manthiqueira 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 XV de Jau 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Maua FC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
4 Rio Branco SP 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 5 1 0 9:2 16
2 Inter de Bebedouro 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
3 Jacarei FC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
4 Taquaritinga 6 1 1 4 3:8 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 AA Itarare 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
3 Catanduva FC 6 1 4 1 13:11 7
4 SKA Brasil 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)