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Manthiqueira vs SKA Brasil

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Manthiqueira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Manthiqueira
30%
Draws
42%
SKA Brasil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SKA Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Manthiqueira haven't matched SKA Brasil's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SKA Brasil taking it.
  • SKA Brasil arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Manthiqueira, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 18%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira SKA Brasil
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.44 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2020 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs SKA Brasil
3:1
Nov 21, 2020 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Manthiqueira
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 28 / 100
SKA Brasil 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira SKA Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Manthiqueira's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: SKA Brasil conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Manthiqueira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

SKA Brasil

(Away)
28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0
SKA Brasil
20 Apr
SKA Brasil
0 : 0
Francana
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1
SKA Brasil
06 Apr
SKA Brasil
1 : 0
Sao-Carlense
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2
SKA Brasil
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Amparo SP 1
Maua FC 2
Andradina Esporte Clube 1
Gremio Prudente 7
Osvaldo Cruz 2
Independente SP 1
XV de Jau 1
Bandeirante 3
AA Itarare 2
Jabaquara 0
SKA Brasil 2
Manthiqueira 6
Rio Branco SP 3
Francana 2
Itapirense 3
Sao Jose EC 3
Quarter-finals
Maua FC 3
Gremio Prudente 3
Osvaldo Cruz 2
Bandeirante 2
AA Itarare 3
Manthiqueira 4
Rio Branco SP 1
Sao Jose EC 2
Semi-finals
Gremio Prudente 1
Bandeirante 2
Manthiqueira 1
Sao Jose EC 6
Final
Bandeirante 2
Sao Jose EC 2