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Manthiqueira vs Uniao Mogi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Isaac
53' Event
Kaua Alex
54' Event
Khevin

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Manthiqueira and Uniao Mogi finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Manthiqueira
15%
Draws
42%
Uniao Mogi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manthiqueira come out ahead of Uniao Mogi on wins alone.
  • Manthiqueira are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 17%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Uniao Mogi
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.58 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Manthiqueira
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Uniao Mogi
2:2
May 31, 2025 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Manthiqueira
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Uniao Mogi
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Manthiqueira
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manthiqueira Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaac
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khevin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Uniao Mogi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaua Alex
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaue
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 36 / 100
Uniao Mogi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Uniao Mogi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Uniao Mogi let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Uniao Mogi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS Uniao Mogi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 8

Uniao Mogi

(Away)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)