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Mantova vs Alfonsine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Sun, Apr 19, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mantova host Alfonsine in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Alfonsine have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Mantova have conceded 1.4 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Mantova have won 1 to Alfonsine's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.19) point toward Mantova. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mantova
30%
Draws
23%
Alfonsine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mantova lately — more wins on the board than Alfonsine.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mantova Clean Sheet 20%
Alfonsine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Alfonsine
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Mantova vs Alfonsine
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Alfonsine vs Mantova
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 31 / 100
Alfonsine 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Alfonsine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mantova's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Alfonsine conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mantova remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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Alfonsine

(Away)
23 Feb
Alfonsine
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
16 Feb
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Alfonsine
09 Feb
Alfonsine
1 : 0
Franciacorta
02 Feb
Breno
2 : 0
Alfonsine
26 Jan
Correggese
1 : 0
Alfonsine
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