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Mantova vs Ambrosiana

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Chinetti F.
40' Event
Ignacchiti L.
44' Event
Trimboli S.

AI Match Summary

Mantova in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mantova
20%
Draws
42%
Ambrosiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mantova lately — more wins on the board than Ambrosiana.
  • Mantova are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mantova have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mantova Clean Sheet 20%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Ambrosiana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Mantova vs Ambrosiana
7:0
Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Mantova vs Ambrosiana
3:0
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ambrosiana vs Mantova
1:2
Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Mantova
1:6
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Mantova vs Ambrosiana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinetti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ignacchiti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Ambrosiana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 58 / 100
Ambrosiana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Ambrosiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mantova's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ambrosiana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mantova has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Ambrosiana
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 7
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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Ambrosiana

(Away)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2
Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
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