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Manu-Ura vs Auckland City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manu-Ura play Auckland City in the OFC Champions League 2007/2008. Auckland City are favorites here. Recently, Manu-Ura averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.14 conceded. Auckland City averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Manu-Ura won 0, Auckland City won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 13, 2010 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Manu-Ura and 1.00 for Auckland City. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Manu-Ura
25%
Draws
60%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Manu-Ura picked up more points recently compared to Auckland City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Manu-Ura Clean Sheet 23%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manu-Ura Auckland City
Matches Played 14 40
Wins 0 26
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.5 2.05
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2010 OFC Champions League
Manu-Ura vs Auckland City
0:2
Oct 17, 2009 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Manu-Ura
5:0
Mar 30, 2008 OFC Champions League
Manu-Ura vs Auckland City
0:1
Oct 27, 2007 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Manu-Ura
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manu-Ura 18 / 100
Auckland City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manu-Ura Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Auckland City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manu-Ura attacking → ← attacking Auckland City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manu-Ura scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Auckland City let in goals in 57% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Manu-Ura went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Auckland City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 84
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Waitakere United42205:38
2Auckland City42118:27
3Manu-Ura40132:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kossa42208:48
2Tafea41214:45
3Ba41034:83