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Manukau City vs Papatoetoe

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2012
Sat, Jul 7, 2012
2 - 1
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manukau City in this Chatham Cup 2012 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Manukau City
25%
Draws
35%
Papatoetoe
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Manukau City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Papatoetoe haven't matched Manukau City's recent run of results.
  • Manukau City are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Manukau City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Manukau City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 91%
Manukau City Clean Sheet 16%
Papatoetoe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manukau City Papatoetoe
Matches Played 2 1
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 1
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2012 Chatham Cup
Manukau City vs Papatoetoe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manukau City 41 / 100
Papatoetoe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manukau City Papatoetoe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manukau City scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Papatoetoe let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Manukau City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manukau City VS Papatoetoe
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manukau City

(Home)
21 Jul
Caversham
3 : 1
Manukau City
07 Jul
Manukau City
2 : 1
Papatoetoe

Papatoetoe

(Away)
07 Jul
Manukau City
2 : 1
Papatoetoe

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Miramar 4
Stop Out SC 0
Dunedin 1
Western AFC 0
Three Kings 2
Central United 3
Melville 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Caversham 4
Cashmere Technical 2
Manukau City 2
Papatoetoe 1
Birkenhead 4
Hamilton 1
Lower Hutt City 2
Napier City 0
Quarter-finals
Miramar 5
Dunedin 1
Central United 2
Eastern Suburbs 0
Caversham 3
Manukau City 1
Birkenhead 2
Lower Hutt City 3
Semi-finals
Miramar 0
Central United 6
Caversham 0
Lower Hutt City 4
Final
Central United 6
Lower Hutt City 1