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Manurewa vs Melville

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melville in this Chatham Cup 2013 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Manurewa
15%
Draws
26%
Melville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manurewa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Melville have won more games recently than Manurewa.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Manurewa taking it.
  • Melville arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Melville, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Manurewa Clean Sheet 12%
Melville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manurewa Melville
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 1 1
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2013 Chatham Cup
Manurewa vs Melville
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manurewa 35 / 100
Melville 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manurewa Melville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Manurewa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Melville lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Manurewa found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (13 games).

Scoring Trends

Manurewa VS Melville
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manurewa

(Home)
27 Jul
Wellington Olympic
4 : 0
Manurewa
06 Jul
Manurewa
3 : 2
Onehunga Mangere
01 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 0
Manurewa
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2
Manurewa
12 Nov
Manurewa
0 : 0
Auckland United
Page 1 of 3

Melville

(Away)
04 Jul
Melville
0 : 1
Hibiscus Coast
05 Jul
Auckland United
7 : 1
Melville
06 Jul
Melville
0 : 1
Hibiscus Coast
10 Sept
Melville
2 : 3
Christchurch
19 Aug
Melville
3 : 1
Waterside Karori
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Palmerston North Marist 2
Napier City 1
Cashmere Technical 7
Waimakariri United 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Lower Hutt City 2
Roslyn Wakari 1
Caversham 4
Manurewa 0
Melville 1
Birkenhead 3
Hamilton 1
Waitakere City 3
Bay Olympic 1
Onehunga 4
Ngaruawahia AFC 0
Quarter-finals
Palmerston North Marist 0
Cashmere Technical 1
Wellington Olympic 3
Caversham 2
Melville 3
Birkenhead 2
Waitakere City 7
Onehunga 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 4
Wellington Olympic 0
Melville 1
Waitakere City 4
Final
Cashmere Technical 3
Waitakere City 1