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Manzanares vs Noblejas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76'
Mora J.
77' Event
Bertuzzi G.
87' Event
Ollero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 game between Manzanares and Noblejas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Manzanares
20%
Draws
80%
Noblejas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Noblejas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Noblejas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Noblejas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Manzanares Clean Sheet 10%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manzanares Noblejas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manzanares vs Noblejas
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Manzanares
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manzanares Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertuzzi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ollero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.74
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manzanares 10 / 100
Noblejas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manzanares Noblejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noblejas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Manzanares found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Manzanares VS Noblejas
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
2.57 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Manzanares

(Home)
11 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
Manzanares
04 May
Manzanares
2 : 3
Villacanas
27 Apr
Manzanares
0 : 2
Albacete B
18 Apr
Huracan de Balazote
3 : 1
Manzanares
13 Apr
Manzanares
0 : 5
Marchamalo
Page 1 of 6

Noblejas

(Away)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
19 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 2
Noblejas
09 May
Noblejas
1 : 1
Marchamalo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)