Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021

Delta Porto Tolle

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manzanese play Delta Porto Tolle in the Serie D - Group C 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manzanese averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Delta Porto Tolle averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Manzanese won 1, Delta Porto Tolle won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2021 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Manzanese and 1.11 for Delta Porto Tolle. This points to a Manzanese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Manzanese

21%

Draws

30%

Delta Porto Tolle

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Manzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Manzanese picked up more points recently compared to Delta Porto Tolle.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Manzanese Clean Sheet 21%

Delta Porto Tolle Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Manzanese	Delta Porto Tolle
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	15	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group C

Manzanese vs Delta Porto Tolle

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group C

Delta Porto Tolle vs Manzanese

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manzanese Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Delta Porto Tolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Busetto F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manzanese 48 / 100

Delta Porto Tolle 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Manzanese Delta Porto Tolle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manzanese or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manzanese attacking → ← attacking Delta Porto Tolle

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manzanese scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Delta Porto Tolle let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Manzanese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Delta Porto Tolle lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trento	38	23	12	3	65:35	81
2	Arzignano	38	19	10	9	52:34	67
3	Manzanese	38	19	9	10	64:44	66
4	Clodiense	38	17	11	10	51:41	62
5	Caldiero Terme	38	15	16	7	56:36	61
6	Mestre	38	18	6	14	58:49	60
7	Delta Porto Tolle	38	17	7	14	51:38	58
8	Luparense FC	38	15	9	14	52:48	54
9	AC Belluno	38	12	17	9	43:45	53
10	Cjarlins Muzane	38	13	13	12	60:60	52
11	Cartigliano	38	13	13	12	42:45	52
12	San Giorgio-Sedico	38	13	10	15	48:48	49
13	Adriese	38	13	10	15	55:64	49
14	Ambrosiana	38	11	14	13	57:64	47
15	Este	38	9	16	13	45:53	43
16	Campodarsego	38	10	10	18	41:48	40
17	Union Feltre	38	10	9	19	41:59	39
18	Virtus Bolzano	38	10	8	20	46:52	38
19	Montebelluna	38	10	8	20	41:67	38
20	Chions	38	3	12	23	30:68	21