Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 game between MapelloBonate and Caravaggio finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Caravaggio come out ahead of MapelloBonate on wins alone.
- MapelloBonate are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 19%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MapelloBonate | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Caravaggio
0:0
Oct 11, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs MapelloBonate
1:2
May 10, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs MapelloBonate
1:1
Jan 4, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Caravaggio
2:1
Apr 17, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Caravaggio
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MapelloBonate 49 / 100
Caravaggio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MapelloBonate Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MapelloBonate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaggio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 38 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
MapelloBonate found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
MapelloBonate has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
MapelloBonate
(Home) 08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2 MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
20 Mar
MapelloBonate
1 : 1 Piacenza
02 Mar
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Caravaggio
(Away) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 8
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
30 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0 Caravaggio
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
16 Feb
Este
3 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piacenza | 38 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 85:27 | 96 |
| 2 | Lecco | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 83:41 | 80 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 63:47 | 64 |
| 4 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 48:49 | 61 |
| 5 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 63:48 | 61 |
| 6 | Olginatese | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57:50 | 56 |
| 7 | Inveruno | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 65:57 | 53 |
| 8 | Ciserano | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 48:55 | 53 |
| 9 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 52:48 | 50 |
| 10 | Monza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Grumellese | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 49:53 | 48 |
| 12 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 13 | Varesina | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Pergolettese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 38:42 | 46 |
| 15 | Bustese Milano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 16 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 45 |
| 17 | Caravaggio | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35:56 | 34 |
| 18 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 28:51 | 33 |
| 19 | MapelloBonate | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:59 | 31 |
| 20 | Sondrio | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 39:73 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
