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MapelloBonate vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
MapelloBonate
30%
Draws
39%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese have won more games recently than MapelloBonate.
  • Win probability leans MapelloBonate's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 14%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MapelloBonate Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 13
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Folgore Caratese
0:0
Nov 1, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs MapelloBonate
3:0
Apr 12, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs MapelloBonate
0:1
Nov 30, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Folgore Caratese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MapelloBonate 35 / 100
Folgore Caratese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MapelloBonate Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

MapelloBonate found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

MapelloBonate has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MapelloBonate

(Home)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
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Folgore Caratese

(Away)
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)