Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MapelloBonate vs Sondrio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sondrio in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sondrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
MapelloBonate
20%
Draws
51%
Sondrio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sondrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sondrio have won more games recently than MapelloBonate.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 20%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MapelloBonate Sondrio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Sondrio
0:1
Sep 13, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs MapelloBonate
1:1
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs MapelloBonate
1:2
Dec 14, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Sondrio
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MapelloBonate 32 / 100
Sondrio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MapelloBonate Sondrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sondrio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sondrio let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

MapelloBonate found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

MapelloBonate has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sondrio
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MapelloBonate

(Home)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
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Sondrio

(Away)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)