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Stadium Background

Maqtaaral vs FC Astana

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2023 Namys Stadium, Šymkent
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Abdurakhmanov O.
13'
Tursynbay S.
28'
Aripov D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023 game between Maqtaaral and FC Astana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Maqtaaral
20%
Draws
57%
FC Astana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Astana come out ahead of Maqtaaral on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Astana a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Astana have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 20%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maqtaaral FC Astana
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2023 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs FC Astana
0:1
May 6, 2023 Premier League
FC Astana vs Maqtaaral
2:0
Aug 31, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
FC Astana vs Maqtaaral
1:0
Jul 3, 2022 Premier League
FC Astana vs Maqtaaral
4:0
Apr 3, 2022 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs FC Astana
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maqtaaral Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymbetov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maqtaaral 12 / 100
FC Astana 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maqtaaral FC Astana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maqtaaral found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Astana has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Maqtaaral has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Astana
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maqtaaral

(Home)
15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
Maqtaaral
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2
SD Family
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0
Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1
Maqtaaral
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6

FC Astana

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 18 4 4 48:21 58
2 FC Astana 26 16 5 5 36:24 53
3 Aktobe 26 13 11 2 44:23 50
4 Kairat Almaty 26 12 8 6 44:32 44
5 Kyzylzhar 26 11 6 9 25:23 39
6 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 10 6 10 31:30 36
7 Atyrau 26 8 10 8 24:27 34
8 Tobol 26 9 7 10 29:33 34
9 Maqtaaral 26 8 5 13 29:32 29
10 Shakhter Karagandy 26 7 8 11 31:36 29
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 8 5 13 27:38 29
12 Okzhetpes 26 7 6 13 26:37 27
13 Kaspij Aktau 26 4 8 14 28:44 20
14 Aksu 26 5 3 18 23:45 18
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