Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Sandoval J.
29'
29'
Mbodj M.
48'
48'
Suyumbaev G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Ordabasy advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ordabasy come out ahead of Maqtaaral on wins alone.
- Model gives Ordabasy a 64% chance of winning this.
- Ordabasy arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ordabasy, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 15%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maqtaaral | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 26 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2023 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Maqtaaral
1:0
May 13, 2023 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs Ordabasy
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
Maqtaaral vs Ordabasy
1:4
Apr 19, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Maqtaaral
1:2
Nov 6, 2022 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs Ordabasy
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maqtaaral Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandoval J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Ordabasy Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadovski U. (.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tagybergen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maqtaaral 10 / 100
Ordabasy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maqtaaral Ordabasy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maqtaaral found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Ordabasy has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.
Maqtaaral went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ordabasy
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Maqtaaral
(Home) 15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2 Maqtaaral
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2 SD Family
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0 Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1 Maqtaaral
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1 Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2 SD Family
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1 Kyzylzhar
05 Oct
Maqtaaral
1 : 1 Tobol
23 Sept
Maqtaaral
2 : 0 Aksu
26 Aug
Maqtaaral
3 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 3
Ordabasy
(Away) 17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
08 Aug
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 4 Ordabasy
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
FC Astana -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
Kaspij Aktau -
TBD -
Turan 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Ordabasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Maqtaaral -
Kyzylzhar -
TBD -
TBD -
Zhetysu Taldykorgan -
Shakhter Karagandy -
TBD -
TBD -
Okzhetpes -
Tobol -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksu -
Aktobe -
TBD -
TBD -
Atyrau -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
Akzhayik Uralsk 7
Akademiya Ontustik 1
1/8-finals
FC Astana 7
Kaisar Kyzylorda 1
Kaspij Aktau 1
Turan 3
Ordabasy 5
Maqtaaral 3
Kyzylzhar 3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Shakhter Karagandy 6
Okzhetpes 0
Tobol 3
Aksu 2
Aktobe 2
Atyrau 3
Kairat Almaty 2
Akzhayik Uralsk 1
Quarter-finals
FC Astana 3
Turan 1
Ordabasy 2
Kyzylzhar 1
Shakhter Karagandy 1
Tobol 2
Atyrau 3
Kairat Almaty 2
Semi-finals
FC Astana 1
Ordabasy 2
Tobol 2
Atyrau 0
Final
Ordabasy 0
Tobol 1
