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Maqtaaral vs SD Family

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup 2024 Stadion Alpamys Batyr, Atakent
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sagnaev S.
39'
Musaev A.
46'
Sub
Erkinbay Z. In: Batyr I.
Out: Erkinbay Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with SD Family advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maqtaaral
15%
Draws
0%
SD Family
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maqtaaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Family's 1.35 goals per match outpaces what Maqtaaral have produced (1.13).
  • Maqtaaral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor SD Family, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 20%
SD Family Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maqtaaral SD Family
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2024 Kazakhstan Cup
Maqtaaral vs SD Family
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maqtaaral Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

SD Family Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniyarov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maqtaaral 85 / 100
SD Family 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maqtaaral SD Family

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maqtaaral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Family let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: SD Family registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Maqtaaral's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS SD Family
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maqtaaral

(Home)
15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
Maqtaaral
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2
SD Family
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0
Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1
Maqtaaral
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6

SD Family

(Away)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ertis Pavlodar 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 AKAS 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Okzhetpes 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Khan Tengri 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademiya Ontustik 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Altai 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Akzhayik Uralsk 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taraz 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 FC Ekibastuz 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Turkistan 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jas Qyran 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Arys 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
3 Kaspij Aktau 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Family 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Ulytau 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Maqtaaral 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zhetisay 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Aksu 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FK Kyran 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)