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Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Mara Sugar Logo

Mara Sugar

0 - 0
FT
APS Bomet Logo

APS Bomet

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Mara Sugar and APS Bomet finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mara Sugar
20%
Draws
61%
APS Bomet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APS Bomet come out ahead of Mara Sugar on wins alone.
  • Mara Sugar are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mara Sugar Clean Sheet 68%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mara Sugar APS Bomet
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.96 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Mara Sugar
1:1
Jul 13, 2022 Super League
APS Bomet vs Mara Sugar
1:0
Jan 21, 2022 Super League
Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mara Sugar 51 / 100
APS Bomet 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mara Sugar APS Bomet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mara Sugar scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

APS Bomet has conceded goals in 54% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Mara Sugar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mara Sugar VS APS Bomet
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mara Sugar

(Home)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 5

APS Bomet

(Away)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)