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Maracaju vs Bataguassu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
Maracaju Logo

Maracaju

1 - 1
FT
Bataguassu Logo

Bataguassu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Maracaju and Bataguassu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Maracaju
20%
Draws
29%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bataguassu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Maracaju Clean Sheet 10%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracaju Bataguassu
Matches Played 21 25
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.14 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Bataguassu vs Maracaju
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Maracaju vs Bataguassu
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracaju 30 / 100
Bataguassu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracaju Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bataguassu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maracaju scored in 67% of their last 21 outings.

Bataguassu let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maracaju remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maracaju VS Bataguassu
1.33 Goals Scored 2.38
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracaju

(Home)
01 Nov
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
6 : 0
Maracaju
26 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 1
Comercial MS
18 Oct
Bataguassu
3 : 1
Maracaju
11 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
05 Oct
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 1
Maracaju
Page 1 of 5

Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bataguassu 10 7 2 1 27:9 23
2 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
3 Maracaju 10 4 4 2 12:13 16
4 Comercial MS 10 2 4 4 12:17 10
5 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 10 2 0 8 11:25 6
6 Sao Gabriel MS 10 1 2 7 6:20 5
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