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Maracaju vs Chapadao Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Maracaju Logo

Maracaju

2 - 2
FT
Chapadao Logo

Chapadao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 game between Maracaju and Chapadao finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maracaju
20%
Draws
40%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Maracaju haven't matched Chapadao's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Maracaju taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maracaju Clean Sheet 20%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracaju Chapadao
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Maracaju vs Chapadao
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracaju 36 / 100
Chapadao 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracaju Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Maracaju scored in 67% of their last 21 games.

Solid form: Maracaju remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maracaju VS Chapadao
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracaju

(Home)
01 Nov
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
6 : 0
Maracaju
26 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 1
Comercial MS
18 Oct
Bataguassu
3 : 1
Maracaju
11 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
05 Oct
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 1
Maracaju
Page 1 of 5

Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)