Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maracena vs Los Villares

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Villares in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Villares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maracena
20%
Draws
51%
Los Villares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Villares have won more games recently than Maracena.
  • Win probability leans Los Villares's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Maracena Clean Sheet 20%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracena Los Villares
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 14 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.92 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Los Villares
0:0
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Maracena
1:1
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Maracena
3:2
Dec 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Los Villares
0:1
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Maracena
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracena 28 / 100
Los Villares 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracena Los Villares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Villares Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Villares has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Maracena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maracena's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maracena VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracena

(Home)
04 Oct
Tavernes
1 : 0
Maracena
27 Sept
Maracena
1 : 1
Tavernes
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5
Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0
Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1
Maracena
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Los Villares

(Away)
15 May
Antequera
5 : 0
Los Villares
08 May
Los Villares
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3
Los Villares
23 Apr
Los Villares
3 : 0
River Melilla
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2
Los Villares
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)