Sport Picks
Maracena vs Union Estepona CF
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maracena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Maracena lately — more wins on the board than Union Estepona CF.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Maracena taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Maracena Clean Sheet 20%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maracena | Union Estepona CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 13 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Union Estepona CF
2:0
Dec 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Maracena
0:2
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Union Estepona CF
3:3
Oct 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Maracena
0:3
Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Maracena
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maracena 85 / 100
Union Estepona CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maracena Union Estepona CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maracena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Estepona CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 35 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Union Estepona CF has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Maracena found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).
Scoring Trends
Maracena VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Maracena
(Home) 27 Sept
Maracena
1 : 1 Tavernes
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5 Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0 Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1 Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1 CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Maracena
1 : 1 Tavernes
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5 Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0 Sporting Ceuta
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1 CD Torreperogil
01 May
Maracena
0 : 1 Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 4
Union Estepona CF
(Away) 11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2 Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 7
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
30 Mar
Malaga B
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
16 Mar
Espanol Alquian
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
02 Mar
Villacarrillo
2 : 0 Union Estepona CF
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Palo | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 72:36 | 74 |
| 2 | Mancha | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 50:27 | 72 |
| 3 | Granada CF B | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 73:35 | 72 |
| 4 | Malaga B | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71:27 | 71 |
| 5 | Linares | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:30 | 70 |
| 6 | Villacarrillo | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 66:41 | 65 |
| 7 | Martos | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52:45 | 64 |
| 8 | Velez | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 51:47 | 56 |
| 9 | Atarfe Industrial | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 58:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Maracena | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:49 | 51 |
| 11 | Marbella | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 52:53 | 49 |
| 12 | Melilla B | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 43:44 | 48 |
| 13 | UD San Pedro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 50:45 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Ronda | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 53:56 | 45 |
| 15 | Union Estepona CF | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45:55 | 45 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:67 | 41 |
| 17 | AD Huercal | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33:73 | 31 |
| 18 | Torremolinos | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:67 | 30 |
| 19 | Alhaurin | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 30:80 | 23 |
| 20 | Comarca | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 26:75 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
