Sport Picks

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Marajo vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Victor Braga
59' Event
Nilson Junior

AI Match Summary

The Paraense 2024 game between Marajo and Aguia De Maraba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Marajo
6%
Draws
90%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aguia De Maraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguia De Maraba come out ahead of Marajo on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aguia De Maraba taking it.
  • Regular Paraense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Marajo Clean Sheet 10%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marajo Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 5 27
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 Paraense
Marajo vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1
Mar 6, 2023 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Marajo
4:1
Feb 16, 2022 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Marajo
2:1
Mar 7, 2021 Paraense
Marajo vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1
Feb 28, 2021 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Marajo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marajo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilson Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Braga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marajo 10 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marajo Aguia De Maraba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba has conceded goals in 66% of their last 47 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Marajo scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Marajo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marajo VS Aguia De Maraba
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paysandu PA862012:220
2Tuna Luso844017:816
3Remo842214:614
4Caete833210:912
5Aguia De Maraba83325:712
6Santa Rosa83234:711
7Sao Francisco82336:69
8Bragantino PA82337:89
9Cameta82337:99
10Castanhal81348:126
11Marajo81255:125
12Canaa80444:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguia De Maraba83325:712
2Bragantino PA82337:89
3Castanhal81348:126
4Canaa80444:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo842214:614
2Caete833210:912
3Santa Rosa83234:711
4Cameta82337:99
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paysandu PA862012:220
2Tuna Luso844017:816
3Sao Francisco82336:69
4Marajo81255:125