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Marajo vs Urumajo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Marajo and Urumajo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urumajo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Marajo
20%
Draws
74%
Urumajo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Marajo haven't matched Urumajo's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Urumajo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Marajo Clean Sheet 10%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marajo Urumajo
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 0.87 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Paraense A2
Marajo vs Urumajo
1:2
May 9, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Marajo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marajo 10 / 100
Urumajo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marajo Urumajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Marajo scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Urumajo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 17 matches.

Marajo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marajo VS Urumajo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marajo

(Home)
24 May
Marajo
1 : 2
Urumajo
13 May
Paragominas
1 : 1
Marajo
09 May
Urumajo
3 : 0
Marajo
25 Apr
Marajo
0 : 5
Paragominas
12 Jul
Canaa
3 : 0
Marajo
Page 1 of 6

Urumajo

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)