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Maranguape vs Caucaia

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Maranguape Logo

Maranguape

2 - 1
FT
Caucaia Logo

Caucaia

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Eudes
20' Event
Aldair
54'
Savio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maranguape in this Cearense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maranguape.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Maranguape
20%
Draws
29%
Caucaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maranguape

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Maranguape have won more games recently than Caucaia.
  • Maranguape are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Caucaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Caucaia
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Maranguape
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Eudes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aldair
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adilton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 86 / 100
Caucaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Caucaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranguape Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maranguape scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Caucaia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Maranguape went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranguape VS Caucaia
1.14 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranguape

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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Caucaia

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)