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Maranguape vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Gomes F.
44' Event
Caio Renan
64' Event
Joao Italo

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Itapipoca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maranguape
30%
Draws
37%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Maranguape on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Maranguape taking it.
  • Itapipoca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Itapipoca, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 17%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Itapipoca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Maranguape
0:3
Mar 30, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:2
Mar 6, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Maranguape
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Renan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Italo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 41 / 100
Itapipoca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maranguape's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Itapipoca conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Maranguape stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranguape VS Itapipoca
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranguape

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Maranguape 1
Guarani de Juazeiro 0
Quixada -
TBD -
Crato 1
Caucaia 0
Semi-finals
Itapipoca 2
Maranguape 4
Quixada 3
Crato 3
Final
Maranguape 2
Quixada 1