Sport Picks
Maranhao vs Paysandu PA
Brazil
Serie C Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís 
Match Events
23'
23'
Henrico
46'
46'
Sub
Teixeira R. In: Luis Gustavo
Out: Teixeira R.
47'
47'
Luis Gustavo
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Maranhao and Paysandu PA finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paysandu PA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maranhao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA come out ahead of Maranhao on wins alone.
- Maranhao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Paysandu PA have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maranhao | Paysandu PA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.53 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Serie C
Maranhao vs Paysandu PA
0:1
Apr 16, 2014 Copa Betano do Brasil
Paysandu PA vs Maranhao
2:1
Apr 2, 2014 Copa Betano do Brasil
Maranhao vs Paysandu PA
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maranhao Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Paysandu PA Compare
Top Goalscorer Italo Carvalho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maranhao 95 / 100
Paysandu PA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maranhao Paysandu PA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maranhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Paysandu PA conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Solid form: Maranhao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Paysandu PA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maranhao VS Paysandu PA
1.43 Goals Scored 1
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Maranhao
(Home) 29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1 Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1 Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0 Maranhao
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1 Itabaiana
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1 Brusque
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1 Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1 Internacional de Limeira
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 3
Paysandu PA
(Away) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0 Paysandu PA
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
