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Maranhao vs Viana

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025 Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Clessione
54' Event
Capote
90' Event
Ryan

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2025 game between Maranhao and Viana finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maranhao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Maranhao
20%
Draws
7%
Viana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maranhao come out ahead of Viana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Maranhao a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 20%
Viana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Viana
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Viana
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Maranhense
Viana vs Maranhao
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Clessione
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capote
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Viana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 85 / 100
Viana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Viana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Viana conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Maranhao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Viana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Viana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 7

Viana

(Away)
04 Jul
Viana
0 : 4
Lago Verde
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
14 Jun
Lago Verde
7 : 1
Viana
07 Jun
Viana
0 : 0
Pinheiro
23 Apr
Tuntum
4 : 0
Viana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)