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Marbella vs Atletico Central

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marbella in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Marbella
20%
Draws
57%
Atletico Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Central have won more games recently than Marbella.
  • Atletico Central are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella Atletico Central
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Marbella vs Atletico Central
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 22 / 100
Atletico Central 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella Atletico Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Central Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Marbella found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Atletico Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.

Marbella has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS Atletico Central
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Central

(Away)
13 Sept
Tenerife B
3 : 1
Atletico Central
06 Sept
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Recreativo Huelva
29 Aug
Cadiz B
0 : 1
Atletico Central
20 Jun
Caudal Deportivo
1 : 1
Atletico Central
14 Jun
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla B 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Don Benito 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Tenerife B 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 CD Badajoz 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Sanluqueno 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
6 Linares 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
7 Betis B 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 CD Estepona 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 Puente Genil 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
10 Atletico Central 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11 Recreativo Huelva 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Las Palmas B 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
13 Ciudad de Lucena 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
14 Xerez CD 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Antoniano 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Marbella 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
17 Mijas Las Lagunas 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
18 Tamaraceite 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)