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Marbella vs Puente Genil

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Palacin P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Marbella and Puente Genil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Marbella
15%
Draws
59%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puente Genil come out ahead of Marbella on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marbella Clean Sheet 24%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella Puente Genil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Marbella vs Puente Genil
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbella Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Puente Genil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 37 / 100
Puente Genil 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puente Genil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puente Genil let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Marbella found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Marbella stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS Puente Genil
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1
Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1
Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1
Sabadell
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Puente Genil

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
12 Apr
Puente Genil
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
05 Apr
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Puente Genil
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