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Marbella vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 Estadio Municipal de Marbella, Marbella
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Olguin M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Marbella and Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Marbella
44%
Draws
20%
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC haven't matched Marbella's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Marbella Clean Sheet 16%
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 2 12
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Marbella vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
1:0
Nov 4, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC vs Marbella
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbella Compare

Top Goalscorer Olguin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 36 / 100
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Marbella scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Marbella has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1
Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1
Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1
Sabadell
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Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC

(Away)
05 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 0
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
28 Apr
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
0 : 0
Orihuela
21 Apr
El Palo
1 : 0
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
14 Apr
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sevilla B341812452:2066
2Yeclano34179843:2960
3Marbella341681041:3256
4Orihuela341591039:3754
5Betis B341314744:2853
6CD Estepona3413101134:2749
7Aguilas FC341115827:2048
8UCAM Murcia341381342:3547
9Linense3412111135:3347
10Antoniano3412101232:4046
11La Union (Malacitano)341441636:3643
12Cadiz B3410121241:4342
13Manchego Ciudad Real349141129:3641
14Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC349131220:2840
15El Palo348121426:3636
16San Roque de Lepe34991634:3936
17Velez347111631:6129
18FC Cartagena SAD B344111925:5123
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)