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Marbelli vs CP Almeria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Martinez T.
54' Event
Liduena Alonso D.
73' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between Marbelli and CP Almeria finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CP Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Marbelli
20%
Draws
7%
CP Almeria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marbelli come out ahead of CP Almeria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marbelli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 20%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbelli CP Almeria
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 2
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Marbelli
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs CP Almeria
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

CP Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liduena Alonso D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbelli 85 / 100
CP Almeria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbelli CP Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marbelli scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

CP Almeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Marbelli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marbelli VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbelli

(Home)
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
03 May
Marbelli
0 : 1
Granada CF B
Page 1 of 7

CP Almeria

(Away)
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2
Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0
CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)