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Marchamalo vs Azuqueca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ballesteros C.
Own Goal
50' Event
Redondo J.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Redondo J.

AI Match Summary

Azuqueca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azuqueca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Marchamalo
20%
Draws
35%
Azuqueca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marchamalo lately — more wins on the board than Azuqueca.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Marchamalo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 11%
Azuqueca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo Azuqueca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Azuqueca
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Marchamalo
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Azuqueca
3:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Marchamalo
3:2
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Azuqueca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marchamalo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Azuqueca Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bamba Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 40 / 100
Azuqueca 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo Azuqueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Marchamalo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marchamalo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Azuqueca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS Azuqueca
0.75 Goals Scored 2.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marchamalo

(Home)
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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Azuqueca

(Away)
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)