Sport Picks
Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 
Match Events
11'
11'
Roman M.
46'
46'
Roman M.
51'
51'
Salazar G.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Marchamalo and CD Guadalajara B finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marchamalo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Marchamalo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Marchamalo's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Guadalajara B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marchamalo | CD Guadalajara B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara B
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Guadalajara B vs Marchamalo
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara B
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marchamalo Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lagreca S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
CD Guadalajara B Compare
Top Goalscorer Roman M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marchamalo 95 / 100
CD Guadalajara B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marchamalo CD Guadalajara B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marchamalo scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
CD Guadalajara B let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Marchamalo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marchamalo VS CD Guadalajara B
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marchamalo
(Home) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0 Guadalajara
Page 1 of 4
CD Guadalajara B
(Away) 04 Oct
Socuellamos
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6 CD Tarancon
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0 CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1 Torrijos
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Socuellamos
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0 CD Guadalajara B
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0 CD Guadalajara B
25 Apr
CD Tarancon
3 : 0 CD Guadalajara B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | UD Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacanas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuellamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 16 | CD Guadalajara B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracan de Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)
