Sport Picks
Marchamalo vs Puertollano C.F. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 
Match Events
13'
13'
Arribas S.
29'
29'
Pena S.
53'
53'
El Yahimdi I.
AI Match Summary
Puertollano C.F. in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puertollano C.F..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marchamalo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Puertollano C.F. have won more games recently than Marchamalo.
- Model gives Marchamalo a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marchamalo | Puertollano C.F. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Puertollano C.F.
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Marchamalo
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Marchamalo
3:3
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Puertollano C.F.
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Marchamalo
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marchamalo Compare
Top Goalscorer Arribas S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Puertollano C.F. Compare
Top Goalscorer Pena S.
1 Goals Assists Leader El Yahimdi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marchamalo 95 / 100
Puertollano C.F. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marchamalo Puertollano C.F.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Marchamalo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Marchamalo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Puertollano C.F. has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Marchamalo VS Puertollano C.F.
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marchamalo
(Home) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0 Guadalajara
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Puertollano C.F.
(Away) 04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0 Atletico Tordesillas
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1 Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3 Gimnastica Segoviana
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1 Puertollano C.F.
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
04 Aug
Socuellamos
1 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2 Puertollano C.F.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
