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Marcilio Dias U20 vs Hercilio Luz U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dudu Silva
13' Event
Pedrinho
(Penalty)
33' Event
Davi Schwenck

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 2024 game between Marcilio Dias U20 and Hercilio Luz U20 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Marcilio Dias U20
28%
Draws
22%
Hercilio Luz U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Marcilio Dias U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz U20 come out ahead of Marcilio Dias U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marcilio Dias U20's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marcilio Dias U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Hercilio Luz U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias U20 Hercilio Luz U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Catarinense U20
Hercilio Luz U20 vs Marcilio Dias U20
0:2
May 18, 2024 Catarinense U20
Marcilio Dias U20 vs Hercilio Luz U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marcilio Dias U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi Schwenck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hercilio Luz U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Damico
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias U20 49 / 100
Hercilio Luz U20 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias U20 Hercilio Luz U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Marcilio Dias U20's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hercilio Luz U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Hercilio Luz U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias U20 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marcilio Dias U20

(Home)
02 Aug
Criciuma U20
3 : 0
Marcilio Dias U20
25 Jul
Marcilio Dias U20
4 : 3
Figueirense U20
18 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
3 : 2
Marcilio Dias U20
12 Jul
Avai U20
0 : 0
Marcilio Dias U20
02 Jul
Marcilio Dias U20
0 : 3
Nacao U20
Page 1 of 7

Hercilio Luz U20

(Away)
09 Jan
Hercilio Luz U20
0 : 4
Dom Bosco U20
06 Jan
Desportivo U20
2 : 2
Hercilio Luz U20
03 Jan
Coritiba U20
2 : 1
Hercilio Luz U20
03 Aug
Barra FC U20
3 : 0
Hercilio Luz U20
27 Jul
Hercilio Luz U20
0 : 2
Barra FC U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra FC U2020153259:1248
2Criciuma U2020144246:1746
3Marcilio Dias U2020134345:1843
4Hercilio Luz U2020122643:2738
5Avai U202089337:2033
6Figueirense U2020721130:3623
7Joinville U202065927:3623
8Brusque U2020641026:3722
9Chapecoense-SC U2020541134:3719
10Nacao U2020351219:4114
11Inter de Lages U202000208:930
Promotion - Catarinense U20 2024 (Play Offs)