Sport Picks

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Marcilio Dias vs Avai B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Marcilio Dias advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Marcilio Dias
15%
Draws
26%
Avai B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marcilio Dias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marcilio Dias come out ahead of Avai B on wins alone.
  • Marcilio Dias are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Marcilio Dias have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marcilio Dias have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 20%
Avai B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias Avai B
Matches Played 33 16
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Avai B
4:1
Nov 5, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Marcilio Dias
1:0
Oct 27, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Avai B
1:0
Sep 11, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Marcilio Dias
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias 85 / 100
Avai B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias Avai B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Avai B conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.

Marcilio Dias found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Marcilio Dias stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marcilio Dias

(Home)
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
Page 1 of 7

Avai B

(Away)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)