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Marcilio Dias vs FC Cascavel

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Geovane
50' Event
Cesinha
55' Event
Garrinsha

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Marcilio Dias and FC Cascavel finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marcilio Dias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Marcilio Dias
30%
Draws
34%
FC Cascavel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marcilio Dias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marcilio Dias come out ahead of FC Cascavel on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marcilio Dias's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias FC Cascavel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs FC Cascavel
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Marcilio Dias
2:2
Jul 9, 2022 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Marcilio Dias
3:0
Apr 23, 2022 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs FC Cascavel
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Marcilio Dias
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marcilio Dias Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garrinsha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Cascavel Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovane
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias 46 / 100
FC Cascavel 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias FC Cascavel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marcilio Dias scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

FC Cascavel let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Marcilio Dias stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias VS FC Cascavel
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC-
Ferroviario-
America RN-
Gama-
Luverdense-
ABC-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
Iguatu-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Treze PB-
Uberlandia-
Portuguesa-
Sao Luiz-
CSA-
Cianorte-
ASA-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-