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Marcilio Dias vs Figueirense B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Marcilio Dias Logo

Marcilio Dias

1 - 0
FT
Figueirense B Logo

Figueirense B

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marcilio Dias in this Copa Santa Catarina 2019 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Marcilio Dias
20%
Draws
23%
Figueirense B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marcilio Dias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marcilio Dias lately — more wins on the board than Figueirense B.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Marcilio Dias taking it.
  • Marcilio Dias have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 20%
Figueirense B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias Figueirense B
Matches Played 36 14
Wins 18 2
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.44 1
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Figueirense B
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense B vs Marcilio Dias
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias 85 / 100
Figueirense B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias Figueirense B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

Marcilio Dias found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Marcilio Dias has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marcilio Dias

(Home)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
Page 1 of 8

Figueirense B

(Away)
30 Oct
Joinville
3 : 0
Figueirense B
27 Oct
Figueirense B
2 : 2
Almirante Barroso
19 Oct
Figueirense B
1 : 0
Avai B
16 Oct
Brusque
4 : 2
Figueirense B
13 Oct
Figueirense B
0 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)